Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.220845 0.254004 0.291412 0.336927 0.391063 0.453701 0.532107
2025-11-02 0.169467 0.212585 0.266533 0.339822 0.438076 0.567098 0.752450
2025-11-09 0.139380 0.185718 0.248089 0.339881 0.474476 0.669390 0.982152
2025-11-16 0.118618 0.165542 0.232380 0.337191 0.502459 0.762101 1.220224
2025-11-23 0.102814 0.148986 0.217878 0.331782 0.522840 0.845015 1.463763
2025-11-30 0.093771 0.140661 0.213697 0.340620 0.566488 0.974608 1.827836
2025-12-07 0.083605 0.128985 0.202201 0.334804 0.582835 1.058371 2.129482
2025-12-14 0.076606 0.121362 0.196026 0.336728 0.613007 1.174751 2.539297
2025-12-21 0.070368 0.114158 0.189443 0.336544 0.638633 1.287647 2.982559
2025-12-28 0.066289 0.110112 0.187757 0.345124 0.683486 1.453336 3.624774
2026-01-04 0.062255 0.105642 0.184650 0.350254 0.721863 1.614416 4.326316
2026-01-11 0.058727 0.101676 0.181935 0.355643 0.761840 1.790645 5.158178
2026-01-18 0.055988 0.098963 0.181453 0.366087 0.817111 2.026588 6.323698
2026-01-25 0.052706 0.094881 0.177784 0.369009 0.854994 2.228534 7.500125
2026-02-01 0.049492 0.090596 0.173177 0.369033 0.885558 2.420026 8.766965
2026-02-08 0.046348 0.086135 0.167675 0.366063 0.907523 2.593178 10.084561
2026-02-15 0.043275 0.081528 0.161345 0.360104 0.919938 2.740355 11.401118
2026-02-22 0.041714 0.079889 0.161295 0.369840 0.980487 3.077123 13.959053
2026-03-01 0.039105 0.075806 0.155338 0.363432 0.990819 3.236163 15.708210
2026-03-08 0.037312 0.073312 0.152739 0.365552 1.028770 3.518088 18.490238
2026-03-15 0.035512 0.070647 0.149462 0.365349 1.059373 3.784856 21.494725
2026-03-22 0.034437 0.069487 0.149624 0.374804 1.125416 4.235155 26.426271
2026-03-29 0.033207 0.067872 0.148511 0.380459 1.179963 4.662682 31.859969